VNCE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNCE - VINCE HOLDING CORP.
$4.30
0.04 (0.94%)
▲
5d:
+3.12%
30d:
+26.47%
90d:
+68.63%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 16, 2026
28d
Get Alerted When VNCE Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VNCE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VNCE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.11
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNCE is currently trading at $4.30, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.31 to $5.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.3) compared to its historical average (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNCE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.00, while resistance sits at $5.90.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.75 (+58.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNCE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.00, while resistance sits at $5.90.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.75 (+58.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$3.31 -
$5.02
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 58.5% below Wall St target ($6.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.8% growth with 4.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.31 -
$5.02
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.00
Resistance Level
$5.90
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.31
Wall Street Target
$6.75
(+58.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.0%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.8% premium
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 9.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.72
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$5.23
(+23%)
3-Year Target
$5.79
(+36%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.27
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 33.3%)
$16.74
(+293%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 33.3%)
$10.10
(+137%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 33.3%)
$7.43
(+75%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.49
Bull Case
$3.03
(-29%)
Analyst growth -34.7%, PE expands to 9.5
Base Case
$2.76
(-35%)
Market implied -34.7%, PE stable at 8.6
Bear Case
$2.87
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 2:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is VNCE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eugenia Ulasewicz
SELL
11322 shares
2025-12-24
Top Rated Apparel Manufacturing Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Apparel Manufacturing by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
RL
Ralph Lauren Corp Class A |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$414 | 61 BUY |
|
GIL
Gildan Activewear Inc. |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$83 | 57 HOLD |
|
UAA
Under Armour Inc A |
SELL
26 analysts |
$6 | 49 HOLD |
|
LEVI
Levi Strauss & Co Class A |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$27 | 54 HOLD |
|
VFC
VF Corporation |
SELL
24 analysts |
$21 | 55 HOLD |
