VNCE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNCE - VINCE HOLDING CORP.
$6.74
0.01 (0.15%)
β²
5d:
-14.36%
30d:
+48.13%
90d:
+173.98%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 16, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: VNCE is down 14.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: VNCE is down 14.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNCE is currently trading at $6.74, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.32 to $7.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.1) compared to its historical average (11.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 21.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNCE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+33.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNCE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+33.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$4.32 -
$7.07
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.5% below Wall St target ($9.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 21.8% growth with 10.5% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -14.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.32 -
$7.07
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.11
Resistance Level
$4.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.06
Wall Street Target
$9.00
(+33.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.0%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+21.8% premium
PE vs Historical
21.1 vs 11.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+21.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.21
(+22%)
2-Year Target
$10.00
(+48%)
3-Year Target
$12.18
(+81%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21β12)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.71
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 33.3%)
$16.52
(+145%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.1, Growth: 33.3%)
$15.98
(+137%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 33.3%)
$8.80
(+31%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.70
Bull Case
$3.70
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$3.37
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$4.58
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 2:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNCE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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