VNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNT - Vontier Corporation
$37.50
0.07 (0.19%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VNT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VNT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.68
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.23
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNT is currently trading at $37.50, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.19 to $38.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.0) is in line with its historical norms (10.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.77 (+22.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.77 (+22.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$37.19 -
$38.49
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.3% below Wall St target ($45.77)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$37.19 -
$38.49
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.40
Resistance Level
$38.94
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.98
Wall Street Target
$45.77
(+22.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.7%
Profit Margin
13.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 10.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.50
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$37.58
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$37.66
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$37.39
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.1%)
$93.30
(+149%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 7.1%)
$45.92
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 7.1%)
$39.03
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.72
Bull Case
$50.89
(+36%)
Analyst growth 25.4%, PE expands to 14.9
Base Case
$46.26
(+23%)
Market implied 25.4%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$25.09
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VNT price and gamma walls.
