VNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNT - Vontier Corporation
$28.03
-0.69 (-2.40%)
▼
5d:
-6.85%
30d:
-23.14%
90d:
-32.93%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VNT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VNT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.75
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.76
14.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNT is currently trading at $28.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.61 to $37.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.5) compared to its historical average (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.91 (+45.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.91 (+45.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$31.61 -
$37.61
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.9% below Wall St target ($40.91)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.61 -
$37.61
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.78
Resistance Level
$36.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.55
Wall Street Target
$40.91
(+45.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 10.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.28
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$22.81
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$20.57
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$28.08
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 9.3%)
$106.92
(+281%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.5, Growth: 9.3%)
$36.55
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: 9.3%)
$31.07
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.83
Bull Case
$41.90
(+46%)
Analyst growth 31.3%, PE expands to 11.3
Base Case
$38.09
(+33%)
Market implied 31.3%, PE stable at 10.3
Bear Case
$19.73
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.5 to 10.3
Stabilization Target:
$38.26
(+36.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 5:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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