VPG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VPG - Vishay Precision Group, Inc.

ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS & ACCESSORIES
$121.59
-22.42 (-15.57%) ▼
5d: -9.27%
30d: -8.53%
90d: +176.53%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 29d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VPG trades at premium valuation expecting 15.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$88.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.71
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VPG is currently trading at $121.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $123.78 to $141.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 67.2) compared to its historical average (43.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 15.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VPG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $119.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 15.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (29th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $94.67. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $123.78 - $141.19
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 29th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.6%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 29th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-15.6%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 22.1% above Wall St target ($94.67)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 15.6% growth with 17.6% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.3% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $123.78 - $141.19
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$15.34 (12.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $119.48
Resistance Level $151.78
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 67.18
Wall Street Target $94.67 (-22.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 17.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -94.5%
Profit Margin 1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +15.6% premium
PE vs Historical 67.2 vs 43.5 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +15.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $140.56 (+16%)
2-Year Target $162.49 (+34%)
3-Year Target $187.83 (+55%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 67→44) PE COMPRESSION $121.63 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 67.2, Growth: 79.8%) $410.37 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 79.8%) $133.05 (+9%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 79.8%) $113.09 (-7%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (161x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (67x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 161.29 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.75
Bull Case $146.82 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 169.4
Base Case $121.59 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 161.3
Bear Case $93.02 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 145.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 05, 2026 2:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced VPG Option Strategies

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