VRTS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VRTS - Virtus Investment Partners, Inc.
$142.21
0.97 (0.69%)
▲
5d:
+0.25%
30d:
-0.86%
90d:
+3.1%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VRTS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VRTS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$187.67
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$116.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VRTS is currently trading at $142.21, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $136.29 to $144.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.5) is in line with its historical norms (5.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRTS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $127.00, while resistance sits at $147.72.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRTS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $127.00, while resistance sits at $147.72.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$136.29 -
$144.61
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($138.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$136.29 -
$144.61
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$127.00
Resistance Level
$147.72
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.46
Wall Street Target
$138.50
(-2.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.1%
Profit Margin
14.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.5 vs 5.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$140.36
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$138.54
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$136.74
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→6)
$142.75
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 5.6%)
$675.24
(+375%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.5, Growth: 5.6%)
$167.27
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.6, Growth: 5.6%)
$142.18
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $16.98
Bull Case
$238.32
(+68%)
Analyst growth 53.4%, PE expands to 9.2
Base Case
$216.66
(+52%)
Market implied 53.4%, PE stable at 8.3
Bear Case
$96.04
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.5 to 5.7
Stabilization Target:
$148.47
(+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VRTS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
W Howard Morris
BUY
1900 shares
2026-03-12
W Howard Morris
BUY
2150 shares
2026-03-12
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