VSAT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VSAT - Viasat Inc
$45.17
-1.06 (-2.29%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VSAT trades at premium valuation expecting 19.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: VSAT trades at premium valuation expecting 19.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.24
Based on -18.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.39
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VSAT is currently trading at $45.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.68 to $44.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 170.3) compared to its historical average (99.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 19.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VSAT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.66, while resistance sits at $49.68.
Market Sentiment: VSAT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $41.12. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VSAT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.66, while resistance sits at $49.68.
Market Sentiment: VSAT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $41.12. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$36.68 -
$44.66
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VSAT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 11.0% above Wall St target ($41.12)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 19.8% growth which is achievable
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$36.68 -
$44.66
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.66
Resistance Level
$49.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
170.28
Wall Street Target
$41.13
(-11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.7%
Profit Margin
-11.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+19.8% premium
PE vs Historical
170.3 vs 99.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+19.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.38
(+20%)
2-Year Target
$66.35
(+44%)
3-Year Target
$79.49
(+72%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 170→99)
PE COMPRESSION
$46.21
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 170.3, Growth: -40.6%)
$33.70
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -40.6%)
$4.41
(-91%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -40.6%)
$3.75
(-92%)
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VSAT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard A Baldridge
SELL
100000 shares
2025-09-11
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VSAT price and gamma walls.
