VSAT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VSAT - Viasat Inc

RADIO & TV BROADCASTING & COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT
$43.60
-2.98 (-6.40%) β–Ό
5d: -11.31%
30d: -4.76%
90d: +25.25%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 19, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

VSAT is down 8.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $70 2026-06-18 with 10,546 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 9.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: VSAT is down 11.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.59
Based on -23.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.23
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VSAT is currently trading at $43.60, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.38 to $48.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 73.2) compared to its historical average (88.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 35.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VSAT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $45.38 - $48.81
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.9%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.4%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($45.57)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $45.38 - $48.81
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $44.32
Resistance Level $52.70
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 73.16
Wall Street Target $45.57 (-2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 35.7%
Profit Margin -7.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 73.2 vs 88.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $43.69 (-6%)
2-Year Target $40.98 (-12%)
3-Year Target $38.44 (-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 73β†’89) $46.56 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 73.2, Growth: -50.5%) $33.96 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: -50.5%) $10.40 (-78%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: -50.5%) $8.84 (-81%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 73.2 to 88.6
Stabilization Target: $56.41 (+21.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +21.1%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Craig Andrew Miller SELL 5260 shares 2026-03-17
Robert James Blair SELL 30411 shares 2026-03-16
Benjamin Edward Palmer SELL 2400 shares 2026-03-12

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Advanced VSAT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VSAT price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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