VTS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VTS - Vitesse Energy, Inc..
$18.38
0.17 (0.93%)
▲
5d:
+3.2%
30d:
+0.71%
90d:
-16.11%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VTS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VTS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.22
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.32
37.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VTS is currently trading at $18.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.98 to $18.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.8) compared to its historical average (55.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 30.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 82.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.54, while resistance sits at $19.30.
Market Sentiment: VTS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.75 (+30.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.54, while resistance sits at $19.30.
Market Sentiment: VTS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.75 (+30.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$17.98 -
$18.68
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.4% below Wall St target ($23.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.98 -
$18.68
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.54
Resistance Level
$19.30
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.77
Wall Street Target
$23.75
(+30.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
82.4%
Profit Margin
-7.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-30.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 55.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-30.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.39
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$14.75
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$13.28
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→56)
$39.53
(+117%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 361.9%)
$72.15
(+296%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 361.9%)
$61.46
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 361.9%)
$52.24
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 55.9
Stabilization Target:
$54.22
(+197.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+197.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 12:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VTS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian Cree
SELL
1440 shares
2026-01-21
Robert W Gerrity
SELL
36785 shares
2026-01-21
Brian Cree
SELL
18000 shares
2026-01-20
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