VZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VZ - Verizon Communications
$44.52
4.71 (11.83%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 30, 2026
0d
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3 traders called VZ this week
67% bullish • 1 bearish
67% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: VZ is 8.4% above fair value ($41.08). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: VZ is 8.4% above fair value ($41.08). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.21
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.69
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VZ is currently trading at $44.52, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.03 to $41.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.3) is in line with its historical norms (8.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 50.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VZ is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $43.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 11.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.02 (+18.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VZ is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $43.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 11.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.02 (+18.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$39.03 -
$41.08
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Protect Your Profits
VZ is technically overbought (RSI 77). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.4% above fair value)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+11.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($47.02)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$39.03 -
$41.08
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.68
Resistance Level
$43.66
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.35
Wall Street Target
$47.02
(+18.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
50.0%
Profit Margin
14.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 8.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.73
(0%)
2-Year Target
$39.65
(0%)
3-Year Target
$39.57
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$39.82
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 1.8%)
$112.34
(+182%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 1.8%)
$42.05
(+6%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 1.8%)
$35.75
(-10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.69
Bull Case
$43.98
(+11%)
Analyst growth 1.7%, PE expands to 9.2
Base Case
$39.98
(+0%)
Market implied 1.7%, PE stable at 8.4
Bear Case
$26.74
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.3 to 8.4
Stabilization Target:
$40.06
(+0.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.6%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-09-05
Sheldon Whitehouse
SELL
2025-09-04
Kelly Morrison
SELL
2025-08-19
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