WGO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WGO - Winnebago Industries, Inc.
$31.78
0.31 (0.99%)
▲
5d:
-7.45%
30d:
-20.33%
90d:
-24.06%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 25, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WGO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WGO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.33
40.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WGO is currently trading at $31.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.26 to $42.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.3) compared to its historical average (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WGO is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $31.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WGO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.00 (+49.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WGO is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $31.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WGO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.00 (+49.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$33.26 -
$42.96
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 49.3% below Wall St target ($47.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.5% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$33.26 -
$42.96
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.06
Resistance Level
$35.70
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.35
Wall Street Target
$47.00
(+49.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.1%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 14.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.32
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$25.49
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$22.94
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→15)
$32.15
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 27.7%)
$141.89
(+351%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 27.7%)
$65.53
(+108%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 27.7%)
$55.70
(+77%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.28
Bull Case
$73.50
(+114%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 28.7
Base Case
$66.82
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 26.1
Bear Case
$22.72
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.3 to 14.5
Stabilization Target:
$44.11
(+40.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+40.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is WGO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael J Happe
SELL
7105 shares
2025-10-27
Sara E Armbruster
BUY
2700 shares
2025-10-24
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