WGO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WGO - Winnebago Industries, Inc.
$30.36
0.15 (0.50%)
▲
5d:
-7.58%
30d:
-22.13%
90d:
-25.07%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 25, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WGO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WGO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$83.80
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.03
41.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WGO is currently trading at $30.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.60 to $39.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (14.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WGO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $28.79, while resistance sits at $35.70.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.50 (+46.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WGO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $28.79, while resistance sits at $35.70.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.50 (+46.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$31.60 -
$39.47
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 46.6% below Wall St target ($44.50)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.6% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$31.60 -
$39.47
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.79
Resistance Level
$35.70
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.09
Wall Street Target
$44.50
(+46.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.1%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 14.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.32
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$24.59
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$22.13
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→14)
$31.37
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 28.0%)
$129.93
(+328%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 28.0%)
$63.73
(+110%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 28.0%)
$54.17
(+78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.28
Bull Case
$73.50
(+114%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 28.7
Base Case
$66.82
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 26.1
Bear Case
$22.72
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 14.3
Stabilization Target:
$43.03
(+41.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 03, 2026 2:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WGO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael J Happe
SELL
7105 shares
2025-10-27
Sara E Armbruster
BUY
2700 shares
2025-10-24
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