WLDN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WLDN - Willdan Group, Inc.
$80.34
1.34 (1.70%)
▲
5d:
+0.24%
30d:
-4.21%
90d:
-22.5%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WLDN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.3% annual earnings decline despite 132% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WLDN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.3% annual earnings decline despite 132% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$145.72
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$90.48
11.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WLDN is currently trading at $80.34, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.26 to $97.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.5) compared to its historical average (22.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 132.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLDN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $73.58, while resistance sits at $85.35.
Market Sentiment: WLDN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.00 (+80.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLDN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $73.58, while resistance sits at $85.35.
Market Sentiment: WLDN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.00 (+80.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$73.26 -
$97.75
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 80.5% below Wall St target ($145.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$73.26 -
$97.75
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.15
(8.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$73.58
Resistance Level
$85.35
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.46
Wall Street Target
$145.00
(+80.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
132.1%
Profit Margin
7.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 22.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$72.31
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$65.08
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$58.57
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→23)
$81.11
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 7.1%)
$123.44
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 7.1%)
$98.79
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: 7.1%)
$83.97
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.49
Bull Case
$116.16
(+44%)
Analyst growth 39.8%, PE expands to 23.8
Base Case
$105.60
(+31%)
Market implied 39.8%, PE stable at 21.6
Bear Case
$51.35
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.5 to 22.8
Stabilization Target:
$111.26
(+38.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+38.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 8:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WLDN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Steven A Cohen
SELL
6000 shares
2026-03-06
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