WLDN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WLDN - Willdan Group, Inc.
$76.71
-3.08 (-3.86%)
▼
5d:
-4.64%
30d:
-13.94%
90d:
-31.06%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WLDN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WLDN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$148.28
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$92.07
16.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WLDN is currently trading at $76.71, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.91 to $103.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.4) compared to its historical average (23.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 132.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLDN is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $73.07, while resistance sits at $85.35. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.00 (+81.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLDN is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $73.07, while resistance sits at $85.35. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.00 (+81.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$73.91 -
$103.39
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 81.7% below Wall St target ($145.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$73.91 -
$103.39
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.85
(8.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$73.07
Resistance Level
$85.35
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.35
Wall Street Target
$145.00
(+81.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
132.1%
Profit Margin
7.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 23.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.81
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$64.63
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$58.17
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→23)
$82.53
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 7.1%)
$134.42
(+69%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 7.1%)
$98.12
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 7.1%)
$83.40
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.49
Bull Case
$116.16
(+44%)
Analyst growth 39.8%, PE expands to 23.8
Base Case
$105.60
(+31%)
Market implied 39.8%, PE stable at 21.6
Bear Case
$51.35
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.4 to 23.2
Stabilization Target:
$113.22
(+41.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WLDN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Steven A Cohen
SELL
6000 shares
2026-03-06
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