WLFC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WLFC - Willis Lease Finance Corp
$162.45
-6.08 (-3.61%)
▼
5d:
-7.55%
30d:
-20.25%
90d:
+18.82%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WLFC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WLFC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$259.11
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$160.89
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WLFC is currently trading at $162.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $168.04 to $196.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.5) is in line with its historical norms (11.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLFC is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $164.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: WLFC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLFC is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $164.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: WLFC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$168.04 -
$196.89
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($160.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with 26.1% revenue growth
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.5%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$168.04 -
$196.89
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$164.47
Resistance Level
$182.25
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.46
Wall Street Target
$160.00
(-5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.6%
Profit Margin
18.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 11.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$169.04
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$169.54
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$170.05
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$167.72
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.7%)
$497.78
(+195%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 14.7%)
$254.60
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 14.7%)
$216.41
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $16.66
Bull Case
$172.78
(-2%)
Analyst growth -11.7%, PE expands to 11.8
Base Case
$157.07
(-11%)
Market implied -11.7%, PE stable at 10.7
Bear Case
$120.97
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:52 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is WLFC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Austin Chandler Willis
SELL
3400 shares
2026-02-02
Austin Chandler Willis
SELL
3400 shares
2026-01-02
Austin Chandler Willis
SELL
2813 shares
2025-12-02
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