WLFC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WLFC - Willis Lease Finance Corp
$182.28
-1.07 (-0.58%)
▼
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LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 09, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WLFC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WLFC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$229.30
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$142.38
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WLFC is currently trading at $182.28, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $141.47 to $180.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.5) compared to its historical average (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLFC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $172.44, while resistance sits at $189.45.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $160.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLFC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $172.44, while resistance sits at $189.45.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $160.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$141.47 -
$180.65
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding WLFC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 12.7% above Wall St target ($160.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.6% growth with 26.1% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$141.47 -
$180.65
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$172.44
Resistance Level
$189.45
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.46
Wall Street Target
$160.00
(-12.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.6%
Profit Margin
18.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.6% premium
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 10.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$197.28
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$212.28
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$228.41
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$183.25
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.7%)
$495.55
(+170%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 14.7%)
$276.98
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 14.7%)
$222.22
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $16.66
Bull Case
$171.60
(-6%)
Analyst growth -11.7%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case
$156.00
(-14%)
Market implied -11.7%, PE stable at 10.6
Bear Case
$120.14
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WLFC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Austin Chandler Willis
SELL
3400 shares
2025-09-02
Austin Chandler Willis
SELL
2700 shares
2025-09-02
Charles F Iv Willis
SELL
30000 shares
2025-08-12
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Advanced WLFC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WLFC price and gamma walls.
