WM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WM - Waste Management, Inc.
$231.00
1.21 (0.53%)
▲
5d:
+2.74%
30d:
-5.11%
90d:
+4.0%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026
24d
Smart Money Accumulation
WM is down 3.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $270 2026-06-18 with 5,798 OI. Call ratio: 82% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.8/10
Get Alerted When WM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$358.91
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$222.86
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WM is currently trading at $231.00, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $228.00 to $241.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.7) is in line with its historical norms (25.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $237.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $237.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$228.00 -
$241.49
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($254.04)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$228.00 -
$241.49
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$219.10
Resistance Level
$237.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.69
Wall Street Target
$254.04
(+10.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.6%
Profit Margin
10.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.7 vs 25.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$228.23
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$225.49
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$222.78
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→26)
$230.98
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.7, Growth: 14.0%)
$342.30
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.0%)
$309.83
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 14.0%)
$263.36
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.71
Bull Case
$354.63
(+56%)
Analyst growth 39.4%, PE expands to 37.9
Base Case
$322.39
(+42%)
Market implied 39.4%, PE stable at 34.5
Bear Case
$157.24
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.7 to 25.6
Stabilization Target:
$239.50
(+3.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 5:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is WM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher P Desantis
SELL
61 shares
2026-03-09
Johnson Varkey
SELL
121 shares
2026-03-09
John J Morris
SELL
4211 shares
2026-03-09
Top Rated Waste Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Waste Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
WCN
Waste Connections Inc |
BUY
25 analysts |
$199 | 53 HOLD |
|
RSG
Republic Services Inc |
BUY
24 analysts |
$245 | 56 HOLD |
|
GFL
Gfl Environmental Holdin… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$55 | 61 BUY |
|
CLH
Clean Harbors Inc |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$302 | 57 HOLD |
|
CWST
Casella Waste Systems Inc |
BUY
10 analysts |
$114 | 55 HOLD |
Advanced WM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WM price and gamma walls.
