WM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WM - Waste Management, Inc.
$222.24
-0.89 (-0.40%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 28, 2026
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1 traders called WM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$297.74
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$184.87
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WM is currently trading at $222.24, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $217.66 to $226.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.8) is in line with its historical norms (26.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $218.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $248.56 (+11.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $218.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $248.56 (+11.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$217.66 -
$226.54
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($248.56)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with 14.9% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$217.66 -
$226.54
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$218.24
Resistance Level
$232.72
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.80
Wall Street Target
$248.56
(+11.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-20.7%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
26.8 vs 26.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$224.25
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$225.37
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$226.49
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$223.11
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.8, Growth: 10.9%)
$304.30
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.9%)
$253.20
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 10.9%)
$215.22
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.35
Bull Case
$334.02
(+50%)
Analyst growth 31.1%, PE expands to 40.1
Base Case
$303.66
(+37%)
Market implied 31.1%, PE stable at 36.5
Bear Case
$157.49
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 4:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2025-09-26
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-09-05
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Advanced WM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WM price and gamma walls.
