WPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WPC - W.P. Carey Inc. (REIT)
$69.75
0.58 (0.84%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WPC is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: WPC is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$129.45
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.38
13.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WPC is currently trading at $69.75, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.87 to $69.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.1) is in line with its historical norms (23.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $67.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WPC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $67.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WPC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$64.87 -
$69.10
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding WPC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($69.82)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$64.87 -
$69.10
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.72
Resistance Level
$70.28
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.14
Wall Street Target
$69.82
(+0.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.0%
Profit Margin
21.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
24.1 vs 23.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.14
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$71.12
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$72.12
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$69.30
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.1, Growth: 77.4%)
$233.45
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 77.4%)
$215.64
(+212%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 77.4%)
$183.30
(+165%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.65
Bull Case
$129.70
(+86%)
Analyst growth 73.6%, PE expands to 45.3
Base Case
$117.91
(+69%)
Market implied 73.6%, PE stable at 41.2
Bear Case
$46.17
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced WPC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WPC price and gamma walls.
