WPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WPC - W.P. Carey Inc. (REIT)
$67.91
0.30 (0.44%)
ā²
5d:
+0.44%
30d:
-9.03%
90d:
+4.77%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
š HOLD: WPC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
š HOLD: WPC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.16
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.88
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WPC is currently trading at $67.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.85 to $73.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.4) is in line with its historical norms (23.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $66.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WPC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $66.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WPC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$68.85 -
$73.65
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($73.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$68.85 -
$73.65
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.89
Resistance Level
$72.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.35
Wall Street Target
$73.50
(+8.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
218.1%
Profit Margin
27.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
24.4 vs 23.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.45
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$69.00
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$69.55
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24ā24)
PE COMPRESSION
$67.71
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.3, Growth: 6.4%)
$81.77
(+20%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 6.4%)
$75.06
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 6.4%)
$63.80
(-6%)
š
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.11
Bull Case
$98.23
(+45%)
Analyst growth 32.2%, PE expands to 35.2
Base Case
$89.30
(+32%)
Market implied 32.2%, PE stable at 32.0
Bear Case
$45.93
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 9:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 PM
š„ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is WPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gary C. Peters
BUY
2026-01-12
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