WPM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WPM - Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. Common Stock
$136.80
5.79 (4.42%)
▲
5d:
+11.55%
30d:
-9.61%
90d:
+15.07%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
WPM is down 18.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $170 2026-06-18 with 2,379 OI. Call ratio: 65% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WPM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.5% annual earnings decline despite 533% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WPM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.5% annual earnings decline despite 533% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$181.55
Based on 3.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$112.73
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WPM is currently trading at $136.80, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $125.26 to $155.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.7) compared to its historical average (31.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 532.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $138.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: WPM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $191.59 (+40.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $138.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: WPM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $191.59 (+40.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$125.26 -
$155.69
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 40.1% below Wall St target ($191.59)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$125.26 -
$155.69
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$113.39
Resistance Level
$138.29
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.70
Wall Street Target
$191.59
(+40.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
127.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
532.7%
Profit Margin
63.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.7 vs 31.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$123.12
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$110.81
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$99.73
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→32)
$138.83
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.7, Growth: 3.6%)
$152.10
(+11%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 3.6%)
$149.76
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 3.6%)
$127.30
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.23
Bull Case
$238.78
(+99%)
Analyst growth 89.4%, PE expands to 39.0
Base Case
$217.07
(+81%)
Market implied 89.4%, PE stable at 35.5
Bear Case
$77.94
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.7 to 31.6
Stabilization Target:
$190.44
(+39.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 9:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WPM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-01-27
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2025-11-18
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2025-10-17
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Advanced WPM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WPM price and gamma walls.
