WWD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WWD - Woodward, Inc.

ELECTRICAL INDUSTRIAL APPARATUS
$317.84
-1.57 (-0.49%) β–Ό
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 02, 2026 1d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
βœ… BUY SIGNAL: WWD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$380.71
Based on 10.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$236.39
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WWD is currently trading at $317.84, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $312.86 to $331.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 34.0) is in line with its historical norms (35.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 63.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WWD is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $315.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $375.12 (+17.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $312.86 - $331.85
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 75.8%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($375.12)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $312.86 - $331.85
Current vs Fair Value FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$18.17 (5.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $315.52
Resistance Level $339.10
Current Trend Support Break

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 34.03
Wall Street Target $375.13 (+17.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 63.9%
Profit Margin 12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 34.0 vs 35.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $313.66 (-2%)
2-Year Target $308.01 (-4%)
3-Year Target $302.47 (-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 34β†’36) $319.10 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 34.0, Growth: 16.5%) $505.56 (+58%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 16.5%) $331.31 (+4%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 16.5%) $281.61 (-12%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.20
Bull Case $467.41 (+47%)
Analyst growth 30.4%, PE expands to 49.8
Base Case $424.92 (+34%)
Market implied 30.4%, PE stable at 45.3
Bear Case $221.64 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.0 to 35.9
Stabilization Target: $336.98 (+5.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.5%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 5:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John D Cohn SELL 1750 shares 2025-09-08
Michael T. McCaul SELL 2025-08-22
Michael T. McCaul SELL 2025-08-21

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Advanced WWD Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WWD price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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