Is XPER stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, XPER is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: XPER is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

What is the fair value of XPER stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for XPER to be between $6.40 and $7.70. The current price is $7.51.

What is the analyst price target for XPER?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for XPER is $11.40. This implies a potential upside of 51.8% from current levels.

XPER Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

XPER - Xperi Inc

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$7.51

-0.11 (-1.44%) ▼

5d: -8.53%

30d: +13.1%

90d: +37.55%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

Analysis Updated: May 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 13, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: XPER is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$14.45

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$8.97

16.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.7x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: XPER is currently trading at $7.51, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.40 to $7.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.8) is in line with its historical norms (5.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, XPER is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.24, while resistance sits at $8.49.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.40 (+51.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Historical Trading Range $6.40 - $7.70

Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 66.2%

All Signals

NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 51.8% below Wall St target ($11.40)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.5% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $6.40 - $7.70

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.24

Resistance Level $8.50

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of May 20, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 5.77

Wall Street Target $11.40 (+51.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.2%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 380.0%

Profit Margin -10.2%

Valuation Premium vs History +0.7% premium

PE vs Historical 5.8 vs 5.7 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +0.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $7.56 (+1%)

2-Year Target $7.62 (+1%)

3-Year Target $7.67 (+2%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→6) PE COMPRESSION $7.58 (+1%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 40.5%) $79.55 (+959%)

Base: (SPY PE: 5.8, Growth: 40.5%) $20.81 (+177%)

Bear: (PE: 4.9, Growth: 40.5%) $17.69 (+136%)

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Last updated: May 21, 2026 4:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:16 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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