XPOF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
XPOF - Xponential Fitness, Inc.
$7.94
0.21 (2.72%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: XPOF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: XPOF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.85
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.22
13.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: XPOF is currently trading at $7.94, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.86 to $8.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, XPOF is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $7.57, while resistance sits at $8.32.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.90 (+41.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, XPOF is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $7.57, while resistance sits at $8.32.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.90 (+41.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$7.86 -
$8.40
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
36th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 36th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.0% below Wall St target ($10.90)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with -2.1% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$7.86 -
$8.40
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.93
(11.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.57
Resistance Level
$8.32
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.92
Wall Street Target
$10.90
(+41.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.7%
Profit Margin
-15.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 8.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.76
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$7.79
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$7.82
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$7.72
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 74.0%)
$65.21
(+744%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 74.0%)
$26.09
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 74.0%)
$22.18
(+187%)
Last updated: January 31, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is XPOF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Bruce N Haase
BUY
70000 shares
2025-08-12
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Advanced XPOF Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's XPOF price and gamma walls.
