YSG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
YSG - Yatsen Holding Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing twenty (20) Class A Ordinary Shares
$2.46
-0.08 (-3.15%)
▼
5d:
-16.04%
30d:
-23.6%
90d:
-40.15%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 15, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: YSG is down 16.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: YSG is down 16.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.01
50.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: YSG is currently trading at $2.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.78 to $3.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 0.7) compared to its historical average (1.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YSG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.63 (+210.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YSG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.63 (+210.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$2.78 -
$3.20
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 210.3% below Wall St target ($7.63)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -16.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.78 -
$3.20
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.42
Resistance Level
$3.07
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.65
Wall Street Target
$7.63
(+210.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.1%
Profit Margin
-1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
0.7 vs 1.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.21
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$1.99
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$1.79
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
$3.02
(+23%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 141.7%)
$280.81
(+11315%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.7, Growth: 141.7%)
$8.30
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.6, Growth: 141.7%)
$7.06
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 0.7 to 1.1
Stabilization Target:
$4.15
(+68.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+68.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 10:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is YSG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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