Is Z stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, Z is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: Z shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of Z stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for Z to be between $66.06 and $69.46. The current price is $63.03.

What is the analyst price target for Z?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for Z is $85.33. This implies a potential upside of 29.0% from current levels.

Z Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Z - Zillow Group, Inc. Class C Capital Stock

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

$63.03

-3.13 (-4.73%) ▼

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

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Last Updated: January 30, 2026

Earnings: Feb 10, 2026 9d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: Z shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$108.78

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$67.55

6.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: Z is currently trading at $63.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.06 to $69.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.6) is in line with its historical norms (30.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, Z is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $63.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: Z has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.33 (+29.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Fair Price Range $66.06 - $69.46

Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 52.4%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.7%)
BULLISH: Trading 29.0% below Wall St target ($85.33)
CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.3%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $66.06 - $69.46

Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $63.81

Resistance Level $70.49

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 29.61

Wall Street Target $85.33 (+29.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.4%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -25.0%

Profit Margin -1.3%

Valuation Discount vs History -1.2% cheaper

PE vs Historical 29.6 vs 30.7 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -1.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $65.37 (-1%)

2-Year Target $64.58 (-2%)

3-Year Target $63.81 (-4%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 30→31) $66.16 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 29.6, Growth: 33.9%) $158.80 (+140%)

Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 33.9%) $119.60 (+81%)

Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 33.9%) $101.66 (+54%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.6 to 30.7

Stabilization Target: $68.60 (+3.7%)

PE Expansion Potential: +3.7%

Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:29 PM

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Technical Signals Check

Is Z showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

David A Beitel SELL 22510 shares 2025-09-08

Jeremy Hofmann SELL 25000 shares 2025-09-08

Jun Choo SELL 25575 shares 2025-09-08

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