ZG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ZG - ZILLOW GROUP INC CLASS A
$62.24
-2.97 (-4.55%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ZG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ZG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$108.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.07
7.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ZG is currently trading at $62.24, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.26 to $68.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.4) is in line with its historical norms (30.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $63.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: ZG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $86.42 (+32.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $63.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: ZG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $86.42 (+32.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$65.26 -
$68.81
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ZG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 32.5% below Wall St target ($86.42)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.6%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$65.26 -
$68.81
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.33
(7.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.50
Resistance Level
$69.54
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.39
Wall Street Target
$86.42
(+32.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.0%
Profit Margin
-1.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
29.4 vs 30.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.30
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$63.40
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$62.51
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→31)
$65.29
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.4, Growth: 33.7%)
$155.93
(+139%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 33.7%)
$118.31
(+81%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 33.7%)
$100.56
(+54%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.4 to 30.7
Stabilization Target:
$68.11
(+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.4%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ZG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David A Beitel
SELL
22510 shares
2025-09-08
Jeremy Hofmann
SELL
25000 shares
2025-09-08
Jun Choo
SELL
25575 shares
2025-09-08
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Advanced ZG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ZG price and gamma walls.