ABM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABM - ABM Industries, Inc.
$39.63
0.86 (2.22%)
▲
5d:
-2.77%
30d:
-0.25%
90d:
-8.77%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 05, 2026
21d
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1 traders called ABM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ABM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ABM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.99
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.25
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABM is currently trading at $39.63, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.19 to $40.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.11, while resistance sits at $41.39.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.43 (+29.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.11, while resistance sits at $41.39.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.43 (+29.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$39.19 -
$40.57
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.8% below Wall St target ($51.43)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.19 -
$40.57
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.11
Resistance Level
$41.39
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.12
Wall Street Target
$51.43
(+29.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.2%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.56
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$37.52
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$36.51
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$39.62
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 9.8%)
$126.60
(+219%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 9.8%)
$52.39
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 9.8%)
$44.53
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.54
Bull Case
$72.95
(+84%)
Analyst growth 71.0%, PE expands to 16.8
Base Case
$66.32
(+67%)
Market implied 71.0%, PE stable at 15.3
Bear Case
$26.36
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 9.9
Stabilization Target:
$43.01
(+8.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:56 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rene Jacobsen
SELL
31034 shares
2026-01-13
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