TRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRI - Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
$89.21
4.30 (5.06%)
▲
5d:
+10.12%
30d:
+3.34%
90d:
+1.32%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$164.88
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$102.38
12.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRI is currently trading at $89.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.62 to $86.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.6) compared to its historical average (21.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $81.63, while resistance sits at $94.10. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: TRI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.00 (+35.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $81.63, while resistance sits at $94.10. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: TRI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.00 (+35.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$79.62 -
$86.49
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 35.6% below Wall St target ($121.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.62 -
$86.49
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.63
Resistance Level
$94.10
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.64
Wall Street Target
$121.00
(+35.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Profit Margin
19.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 21.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$84.04
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$79.16
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$74.57
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→21)
$89.21
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.3%)
$164.51
(+84%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 14.3%)
$133.22
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 14.3%)
$113.24
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.47
Bull Case
$136.14
(+53%)
Analyst growth 45.8%, PE expands to 26.9
Base Case
$123.77
(+39%)
Market implied 45.8%, PE stable at 24.5
Bear Case
$57.74
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.6 to 21.1
Stabilization Target:
$106.72
(+19.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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