TRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRI - Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
$89.10
6.37 (7.70%)
▲
5d:
-0.13%
30d:
-4.2%
90d:
+7.09%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
TRI is down 11.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $115 2026-07-17 with 513 OI. Call ratio: 63% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TRI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TRI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$173.31
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$107.61
17.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRI is currently trading at $89.10, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.68 to $94.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.4) compared to its historical average (22.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $78.60, while resistance sits at $102.65. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: TRI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $128.28 (+55.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $78.60, while resistance sits at $102.65. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: TRI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $128.28 (+55.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$85.68 -
$94.78
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TRI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 55.1% below Wall St target ($128.28)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.68 -
$94.78
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$78.60
Resistance Level
$102.65
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.41
Wall Street Target
$128.28
(+55.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.2%
Profit Margin
19.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 22.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$74.54
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$67.16
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$60.51
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→22)
$82.61
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 14.0%)
$164.72
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 14.0%)
$122.46
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 14.0%)
$104.09
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.48
Bull Case
$125.97
(+52%)
Analyst growth 44.9%, PE expands to 25.0
Base Case
$114.51
(+38%)
Market implied 44.9%, PE stable at 22.7
Bear Case
$53.75
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.4 to 22.4
Stabilization Target:
$112.94
(+36.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 1:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TRI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TRI price and gamma walls.
