ADC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADC - Agree Realty Corporation
$74.97
0.56 (0.75%)
▲
5d:
-0.99%
30d:
-6.85%
90d:
+3.55%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
27d
Smart Money Accumulation
ADC is down 5.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $80 2026-05-15 with 11 OI. Call ratio: 95% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ADC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ADC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$61.52
Based on 3.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.20
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADC is currently trading at $74.97, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.33 to $81.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 36.7) is in line with its historical norms (37.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.25 (+12.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.25 (+12.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$76.33 -
$81.10
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($84.25)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$76.33 -
$81.10
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.00
Resistance Level
$80.52
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.71
Wall Street Target
$84.25
(+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.0%
Profit Margin
28.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
36.7 vs 37.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$74.45
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$73.92
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$73.41
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→38)
$74.99
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.7, Growth: 3.6%)
$83.35
(+11%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 3.6%)
$50.75
(-32%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 3.6%)
$43.14
(-43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (37x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.77
Bull Case
$97.12
(+28%)
Analyst growth 15.9%, PE expands to 47.3
Base Case
$88.30
(+17%)
Market implied 15.9%, PE stable at 43.0
Bear Case
$51.78
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.7 to 37.5
Stabilization Target:
$76.59
(+2.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 7:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-01-15
Peter Coughenour
BUY
500 shares
2026-01-09
Richard Agree
BUY
24000 shares
2026-01-09
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ADC price and gamma walls.
