KIM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KIM - Kimco Realty Corp.
$23.48
-0.05 (-0.21%)
▼
5d:
+0.43%
30d:
+1.78%
90d:
+7.56%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
KIM is up 3.3% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $22.5 2026-05-15 with 79 OI. Put ratio: 65% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KIM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KIM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.42
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KIM is currently trading at $23.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.82 to $23.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.4) is in line with its historical norms (26.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KIM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KIM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$22.82 -
$23.87
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($25.22)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.82 -
$23.87
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.19
Resistance Level
$24.14
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.37
Wall Street Target
$25.22
(+7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.4%
Profit Margin
28.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
27.4 vs 26.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.67
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$23.86
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$24.05
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.46
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.4, Growth: 7.6%)
$29.24
(+25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 7.6%)
$23.44
(0%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 7.6%)
$19.93
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 27.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.87
Bull Case
$25.53
(+9%)
Analyst growth -1.4%, PE expands to 29.8
Base Case
$23.21
(-1%)
Market implied -1.4%, PE stable at 27.1
Bear Case
$16.00
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 10, 2026 12:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KIM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced KIM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KIM price and gamma walls.
