ALB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALB - Albemarle Corporation
$191.10
-9.84 (-4.90%)
▼
5d:
-3.66%
30d:
+3.09%
90d:
+20.24%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
ALB is down 3.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $260 2026-06-18 with 8,038 OI. Call ratio: 65% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.3/10
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5 traders called ALB this week
88% bullish • 1 bearish
88% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 35.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 35.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$281.75
Based on 0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$174.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALB is currently trading at $191.10, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $181.40 to $202.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.4) compared to its historical average (64.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 35.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $187.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $211.38 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $187.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $211.38 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$181.40 -
$202.63
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($211.38)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$181.40 -
$202.63
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$187.33
Resistance Level
$221.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.45
Wall Street Target
$211.38
(+10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.2%
Profit Margin
-4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-35.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.5 vs 64.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-35.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$171.99
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$154.79
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$139.31
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→65)
$515.85
(+170%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -2.8%)
$221.46
(+16%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.4, Growth: -2.8%)
$175.30
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.8, Growth: -2.8%)
$149.01
(-22%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.4 to 64.6
Stabilization Target:
$707.61
(+270.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+270.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 9:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
J Kent Masters
SELL
11783 shares
2026-03-10
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Advanced ALB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALB price and gamma walls.
