What is the fair value of ALIT stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for ALIT to be between $0.58 and $0.83. The current price is $0.79.

What is the analyst price target for ALIT?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for ALIT is $2.20. This implies a potential upside of 179.8% from current levels.

ALIT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ALIT - Alight, Inc.

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

$0.79

-0.01 (-1.73%) ▼

5d: -15.95%

30d: +21.78%

90d: -39.52%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 13, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

ALIT is down 16.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $1 2026-06-18 with 2,062 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ALIT is down 16.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 4.5%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$0.94

Based on 4.3% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$0.58

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ALIT is currently trading at $0.79, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $0.58 to $0.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 2.7) is in line with its historical norms (2.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ALIT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $0.68, while resistance sits at $1.04.

Market Sentiment: ALIT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $2.20 (+179.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Historical Trading Range $0.58 - $0.83

Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 77.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 179.8% below Wall St target ($2.20)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -16.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $0.58 - $0.83

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $0.68

Resistance Level $1.04

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 2.68

Wall Street Target $2.20 (+179.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.6%

Profit Margin -137.5%

Valuation Premium vs History +1.5% premium

PE vs Historical 2.7 vs 2.6 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +1.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $0.80 (+2%)

2-Year Target $0.81 (+3%)

3-Year Target $0.82 (+5%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 3→3) PE COMPRESSION $0.80 (+2%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 4.5%) $7.40 (+841%)

Base: (SPY PE: 2.7, Growth: 4.5%) $0.90 (+14%)

Bear: (PE: 2.3, Growth: 4.5%) $0.76 (-3%)

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Last updated: May 18, 2026 7:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:28 AM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Recent Transactions

Robert A Jr. Lopes BUY 30000 shares 2026-03-16

Rohit Verma BUY 112000 shares 2026-03-12

Rohit Verma BUY 100000 shares 2026-02-24

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Advanced ALIT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALIT price and gamma walls.

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