AMCR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMCR - Amcor plc Ordinary Shares
$36.69
-1.90 (-4.92%)
▼
5d:
-8.11%
30d:
-8.69%
90d:
-26.75%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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1 traders called AMCR this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMCR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AMCR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.14
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.72
0.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMCR is currently trading at $36.69, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.16 to $41.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.5) compared to its historical average (10.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.58 (+32.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.58 (+32.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$38.16 -
$41.15
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMCR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 32.4% below Wall St target ($48.58)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.1% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.16 -
$41.15
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.67
Resistance Level
$41.36
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.52
Wall Street Target
$48.58
(+32.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
77.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.7%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 10.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.60
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$32.63
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$30.77
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$36.82
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 8.3%)
$120.72
(+229%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 8.3%)
$46.63
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 8.3%)
$39.63
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.25
Bull Case
$84.90
(+131%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.0
Base Case
$77.18
(+110%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 30.9
Bear Case
$26.24
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.5 to 10.2
Stabilization Target:
$43.90
(+19.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 1:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMCR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Thomas H. Kean, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-31
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-10
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-17
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