AMCX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMCX - AMC Networks Inc. Class A
$10.26
-0.25 (-2.38%)
▼
5d:
+8.57%
30d:
-2.66%
90d:
+46.57%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMCX trades at premium valuation expecting 10.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: AMCX trades at premium valuation expecting 10.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.74
Based on -8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMCX is currently trading at $10.26, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.51 to $10.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 6.9) compared to its historical average (5.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.08, while resistance sits at $10.62.
Market Sentiment: AMCX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $7.50. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.08, while resistance sits at $10.62.
Market Sentiment: AMCX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $7.50. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.51 -
$10.19
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 26.9% above Wall St target ($7.50)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 10.5% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.51 -
$10.19
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.08
Resistance Level
$10.62
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.91
Wall Street Target
$7.50
(-26.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
82.2%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.5% premium
PE vs Historical
6.9 vs 5.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.34
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$12.53
(+22%)
3-Year Target
$13.84
(+35%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.22
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -21.0%)
$23.57
(+130%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.9, Growth: -21.0%)
$7.48
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.1, Growth: -21.0%)
$5.52
(-46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.89
Bull Case
$19.29
(+88%)
Analyst growth 66.8%, PE expands to 13.0
Base Case
$17.53
(+71%)
Market implied 66.8%, PE stable at 11.8
Bear Case
$7.15
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 4:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMCX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael J Sherin III
SELL
5963 shares
2026-03-10
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AMCX is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
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