APO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APO - Apollo Global Management, Inc.
$135.52
3.92 (2.98%)
▲
5d:
+6.05%
30d:
+12.43%
90d:
+8.1%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
APO is up 5.6% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $105 2026-06-18 with 8,127 OI. Put ratio: 63% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.9/10
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2 traders called APO this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: APO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: APO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$235.55
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$146.26
7.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APO is currently trading at $135.52, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $113.51 to $132.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $136.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: APO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $150.18 (+10.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $136.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: APO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $150.18 (+10.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$113.51 -
$132.09
Company Quality Score
68/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding APO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($150.18)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$113.51 -
$132.09
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$126.36
Resistance Level
$136.58
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.68
Wall Street Target
$150.18
(+10.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.3%
Profit Margin
3.7%
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 12.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$135.52
(0%)
2-Year Target
$135.52
(0%)
3-Year Target
$135.52
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
$135.68
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 19.6%)
$402.91
(+197%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 19.6%)
$231.89
(+71%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 19.6%)
$197.11
(+45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 14.53 | Forward EPS (Implied): $9.32
Bull Case
$163.64
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.3
Base Case
$135.52
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.5
Bear Case
$103.67
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 3:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-13
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Advanced APO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APO price and gamma walls.
