ARCB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ARCB - ArcBest Corporation
$122.84
0.13 (0.11%)
▲
5d:
+3.83%
30d:
+3.54%
90d:
+17.01%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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1 traders called ARCB this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ARCB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ARCB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$233.28
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$144.85
15.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARCB is currently trading at $122.84, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $112.43 to $124.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.4) is in line with its historical norms (15.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $124.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $135.45 (+10.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARCB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $124.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $135.45 (+10.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$112.43 -
$124.46
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($135.45)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.8% growth with 3.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$112.43 -
$124.46
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$109.96
Resistance Level
$124.74
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.37
Wall Street Target
$135.45
(+10.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.3%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 15.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$123.69
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$124.68
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$125.68
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$122.69
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 54.8%)
$594.86
(+385%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 54.8%)
$414.15
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 54.8%)
$352.02
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.44
Bull Case
$261.58
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 53.6
Base Case
$237.80
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 48.7
Bear Case
$80.85
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 4:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ARCB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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