ASH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASH - Ashland Inc.
$54.50
-1.65 (-2.94%)
▼
5d:
-0.93%
30d:
-5.17%
90d:
-10.55%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ASH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ASH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$96.17
Based on 12.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.72
8.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASH is currently trading at $54.50, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.35 to $57.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.4) is in line with its historical norms (12.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $50.93, while resistance sits at $57.82.
Market Sentiment: ASH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.18 (+17.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $50.93, while resistance sits at $57.82.
Market Sentiment: ASH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.18 (+17.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$53.35 -
$57.57
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($64.18)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with 0.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$53.35 -
$57.57
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.93
Resistance Level
$57.82
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.44
Wall Street Target
$64.18
(+17.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.5%
Profit Margin
-39.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.55
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$54.61
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$54.66
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$54.49
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 20.5%)
$169.24
(+211%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 20.5%)
$95.38
(+75%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 20.5%)
$81.07
(+49%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 10:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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