BJ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BJ - BJs Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$95.95
0.95 (1.00%)
▲
5d:
+1.71%
30d:
+5.79%
90d:
-4.59%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 22, 2026
7d
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1 traders called BJ this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BJ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BJ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$125.14
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$77.70
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BJ is currently trading at $95.95, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $91.98 to $95.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.4) is in line with its historical norms (20.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $96.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BJ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.60 (+10.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $96.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BJ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.60 (+10.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$91.98 -
$95.10
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($104.60)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$91.98 -
$95.10
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$90.69
Resistance Level
$96.39
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.39
Wall Street Target
$104.60
(+10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.5%
Profit Margin
2.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.4 vs 20.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$94.52
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$94.05
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$93.58
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→21)
$95.01
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 6.7%)
$124.72
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 6.7%)
$115.37
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 6.7%)
$98.07
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.38
Bull Case
$107.67
(+13%)
Analyst growth 6.4%, PE expands to 23.1
Base Case
$97.88
(+3%)
Market implied 6.4%, PE stable at 21.0
Bear Case
$62.57
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.4 to 20.7
Stabilization Target:
$96.45
(+1.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 1:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BJ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert W Eddy
SELL
8000 shares
2026-04-15
Joseph Mcgrail
SELL
2050 shares
2026-04-15
April McClain Delaney
SELL
2026-03-05
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