BJ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BJ - BJs Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$89.18
2.62 (3.03%)
▲
5d:
+3.33%
30d:
+0.7%
90d:
-5.74%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BJ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BJ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$123.33
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$76.58
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BJ is currently trading at $89.18, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.73 to $90.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.1) is in line with its historical norms (20.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $90.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: BJ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.10 (+13.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $90.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: BJ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.10 (+13.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$85.73 -
$90.26
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($101.10)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.73 -
$90.26
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.21
Resistance Level
$90.13
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.14
Wall Street Target
$101.10
(+13.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.7%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.1 vs 20.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.31
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$85.47
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$83.68
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→20)
$89.19
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.7%)
$123.25
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.1, Growth: 6.7%)
$108.30
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.3, Growth: 6.7%)
$92.06
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.35
Bull Case
$101.99
(+14%)
Analyst growth 7.1%, PE expands to 21.9
Base Case
$92.72
(+4%)
Market implied 7.1%, PE stable at 19.9
Bear Case
$58.86
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.1 to 20.4
Stabilization Target:
$95.05
(+6.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BJ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert W Eddy
SELL
8000 shares
2026-04-15
Joseph Mcgrail
SELL
2050 shares
2026-04-15
April McClain Delaney
SELL
2026-03-05
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