CARR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CARR - Carrier Global Corporation
$60.36
0.78 (1.31%)
▲
5d:
+5.21%
30d:
+14.23%
90d:
+2.57%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CARR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CARR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.05
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.22
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CARR is currently trading at $60.36, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.57 to $58.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.0) compared to its historical average (18.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CARR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $60.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CARR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.54 (+16.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CARR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $60.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CARR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.54 (+16.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$53.57 -
$58.00
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
CARR is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($70.54)
- BEARISH: Market expects 4.0% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$53.57 -
$58.00
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.62
Resistance Level
$60.79
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.99
Wall Street Target
$70.54
(+16.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.5%
Profit Margin
18.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
21.0 vs 18.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.77
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$65.29
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$67.90
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$60.49
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.4%)
$86.22
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.0, Growth: 10.4%)
$81.15
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.8, Growth: 10.4%)
$68.98
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.60
Bull Case
$114.49
(+92%)
Analyst growth 79.7%, PE expands to 39.8
Base Case
$104.09
(+75%)
Market implied 79.7%, PE stable at 36.2
Bear Case
$39.38
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 5:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CARR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-09-29
Lisa C. McClain
SELL
2025-09-11
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-08-26
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CARR price and gamma walls.
