CARR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CARR - Carrier Global Corporation
$55.71
-1.19 (-2.09%)
▼
5d:
+1.9%
30d:
-8.79%
90d:
+5.43%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
CARR is down 3.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $65 2026-06-18 with 3,068 OI. Call ratio: 72% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CARR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CARR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.54
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.46
3.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CARR is currently trading at $55.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.87 to $61.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.6) is in line with its historical norms (19.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CARR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $53.77, while resistance sits at $60.20.
Market Sentiment: CARR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.61 (+28.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CARR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $53.77, while resistance sits at $60.20.
Market Sentiment: CARR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.61 (+28.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$55.87 -
$61.67
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CARR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.5% below Wall St target ($71.61)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$55.87 -
$61.67
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$53.77
Resistance Level
$60.20
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.55
Wall Street Target
$71.61
(+28.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.8%
Profit Margin
6.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 19.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.26
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$52.85
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$51.48
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$55.72
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 14.0%)
$96.78
(+74%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 14.0%)
$82.59
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 14.0%)
$70.20
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.69
Bull Case
$120.04
(+106%)
Analyst growth 87.9%, PE expands to 37.8
Base Case
$109.13
(+87%)
Market implied 87.9%, PE stable at 34.4
Bear Case
$39.49
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.6 to 19.0
Stabilization Target:
$60.30
(+8.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 6:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CARR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
2026-01-29
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BUY
2026-01-23
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Advanced CARR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CARR price and gamma walls.
