TT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TT - Trane Technologies plc
$460.42
-6.18 (-1.32%)
▼
5d:
-3.37%
30d:
-3.3%
90d:
-2.13%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$657.95
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$408.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TT is currently trading at $460.42, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $456.98 to $486.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.0) is in line with its historical norms (26.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $458.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $518.30 (+12.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $458.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $518.30 (+12.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$456.98 -
$486.90
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($518.30)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with 6.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$456.98 -
$486.90
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$458.12
Resistance Level
$492.22
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.03
Wall Street Target
$518.30
(+12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.1%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
27.0 vs 26.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$461.80
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$463.19
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$464.58
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$460.66
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.0, Growth: 14.3%)
$687.22
(+49%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 14.3%)
$561.92
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 14.3%)
$477.64
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.11
Bull Case
$666.93
(+45%)
Analyst growth 29.9%, PE expands to 39.2
Base Case
$606.30
(+32%)
Market implied 29.9%, PE stable at 35.6
Bear Case
$317.29
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 10:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher J Kuehn
SELL
8619 shares
2026-04-08
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
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