MAS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MAS - Masco Corporation
$67.96
0.48 (0.71%)
▲
5d:
-5.52%
30d:
+7.58%
90d:
-12.35%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
MAS is down 5.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $65 2026-06-18 with 603 OI. Call ratio: 91% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MAS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MAS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$99.98
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MAS is currently trading at $67.96, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.75 to $72.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.3) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $66.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.67 (+19.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $66.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.67 (+19.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$63.75 -
$72.84
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MAS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($80.67)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$63.75 -
$72.84
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.56
Resistance Level
$74.35
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.35
Wall Street Target
$80.67
(+19.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.0%
Profit Margin
10.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 15.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.40
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$65.34
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$64.29
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$67.67
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 10.2%)
$138.71
(+106%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 10.2%)
$90.29
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 10.2%)
$76.75
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.04
Bull Case
$86.32
(+28%)
Analyst growth 16.4%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case
$78.47
(+16%)
Market implied 16.4%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case
$45.83
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.3 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$71.02
(+5.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 3:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Heath M Eisman
SELL
747 shares
2026-02-26
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
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Advanced MAS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MAS price and gamma walls.
