OC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OC - Owens Corning

ABRASIVE, ASBESTOS & MISC NONMETALLIC MINERAL PRODS
$151.06
0.48 (0.32%) ▲
5d: +10.86%
30d: +25.45%
90d: +40.84%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: OC is 8.8% above its trading range ($138.81). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$239.16
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$148.50
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OC is currently trading at $151.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $116.50 to $138.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.8) compared to its historical average (10.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $127.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: OC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $116.50 - $138.81
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 51.4%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.8% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($151.79)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.8% growth which is achievable

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $116.50 - $138.81
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $117.98
Resistance Level $127.67
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.81
Wall Street Target $151.79 (+0.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 31.2%
Profit Margin -5.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.8% premium
PE vs Historical 12.8 vs 10.5 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $161.33 (+7%)
2-Year Target $172.30 (+14%)
3-Year Target $184.02 (+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→11) PE COMPRESSION $150.87 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 24.6%) $496.39 (+229%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 24.6%) $291.89 (+93%)
Bear: (PE: 10.5, Growth: 24.6%) $239.31 (+58%)
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Last updated: July 03, 2026 8:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:55 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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