OC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OC - Owens Corning
$121.07
2.51 (2.12%)
▲
5d:
-0.61%
30d:
+3.85%
90d:
-10.47%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$244.17
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$151.61
20.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OC is currently trading at $121.07, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $114.65 to $124.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 31.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $116.31, while resistance sits at $130.54.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $144.80 (+19.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $116.31, while resistance sits at $130.54.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $144.80 (+19.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$114.65 -
$124.73
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($144.80)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$114.65 -
$124.73
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$116.31
Resistance Level
$130.54
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.14
Wall Street Target
$144.80
(+19.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.2%
Profit Margin
-5.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 10.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$119.50
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$117.94
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$116.41
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$120.56
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 25.2%)
$515.94
(+326%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 25.2%)
$237.34
(+96%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 25.2%)
$201.74
(+67%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 10.5
Stabilization Target:
$125.38
(+3.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 7:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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