CBOE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CBOE - Cboe Global Markets, Inc.
$358.67
-8.03 (-2.19%)
▼
5d:
+5.91%
30d:
+17.6%
90d:
+32.55%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
CBOE is down 3.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $310 2026-06-18 with 324 OI. Call ratio: 68% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CBOE is 8.7% above its trading range ($329.97). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CBOE is 8.7% above its trading range ($329.97). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$420.08
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$260.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CBOE is currently trading at $358.67, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $291.59 to $329.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.0) is in line with its historical norms (23.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBOE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $367.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CBOE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBOE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $367.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CBOE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$291.59 -
$329.97
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
CBOE is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.7% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($330.57)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$291.59 -
$329.97
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$314.37
Resistance Level
$367.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.97
Wall Street Target
$330.57
(-7.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
54.4%
Profit Margin
25.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
25.0 vs 23.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$367.28
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$376.09
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$385.12
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$359.38
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.0, Growth: 5.3%)
$418.23
(+17%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 5.3%)
$369.18
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 5.3%)
$313.80
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.06
Bull Case
$480.46
(+34%)
Analyst growth 19.1%, PE expands to 33.5
Base Case
$436.78
(+22%)
Market implied 19.1%, PE stable at 30.4
Bear Case
$249.36
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 9:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CBOE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Allen Wilkinson
SELL
248 shares
2026-02-23
Alexander Matturri Jr
SELL
1500 shares
2026-02-18
Edward J Fitzpatrick
SELL
3947 shares
2026-02-18
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