CL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CL - Colgate-Palmolive Company

PERFUMES, COSMETICS & OTHER TOILET PREPARATIONS
$88.13
-0.71 (-0.80%) ▼
5d: +0.66%
30d: +5.39%
90d: -8.83%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

CL is up 4.3% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $80 2026-06-18 with 5,286 OI. Put ratio: 68% View Scanner →

Strength: 4.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.88
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.84
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CL is currently trading at $88.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.54 to $87.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.8) is in line with its historical norms (21.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.83. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: CL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $83.54 - $87.22
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.5%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($95.84)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with 8.4% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $83.54 - $87.22
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $84.08
Resistance Level $89.83
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.81
Wall Street Target $95.84 (+8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -5.9%
Profit Margin 10.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.6% premium
PE vs Historical 21.8 vs 21.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $88.66 (+1%)
2-Year Target $89.19 (+1%)
3-Year Target $89.73 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→22) PE COMPRESSION $88.46 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 6.0%) $106.31 (+21%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.0%) $105.05 (+19%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 6.0%) $89.29 (+1%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.58
Bull Case $153.07 (+74%)
Analyst growth 56.6%, PE expands to 37.9
Base Case $139.15 (+58%)
Market implied 56.6%, PE stable at 34.4
Bear Case $60.41 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 16, 2026 4:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Panagiotis Tsourapas SELL 15000 shares 2026-02-12
Panagiotis Tsourapas SELL 35000 shares 2026-02-11
John Hazlin SELL 20989 shares 2026-02-10

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