CLF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CLF - Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.

METAL MINING
$10.31
-0.62 (-5.67%) ▼
5d: -6.44%
30d: +6.07%
90d: -0.67%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Protect Your CLF Gains
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 20, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

CLF is down 6.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $12 2026-06-18 with 20,981 OI. Call ratio: 67% View Scanner →

Strength: 4.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CLF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.22
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.07
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CLF is currently trading at $10.31, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.23 to $10.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.3) compared to its historical average (33.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CLF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $9.23 - $10.75
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.9%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.7%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.67)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.4% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $9.23 - $10.75
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.13
Resistance Level $11.42
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.27
Wall Street Target $10.67 (+3.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -99.4%
Profit Margin -6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -12.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 22.3 vs 33.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -12.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.28 (-10%)
2-Year Target $8.35 (-19%)
3-Year Target $7.52 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→33) $11.20 (+9%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.3 to 33.2
Stabilization Target: $15.37 (+49.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +49.1%
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 10:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Clifford T Smith SELL 200000 shares 2026-02-17
Edilson Camara BUY 19700 shares 2026-02-13
Lourenco Goncalves SELL 3000000 shares 2026-02-11

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Advanced CLF Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CLF price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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