CNK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNK - Cinemark Holdings, Inc.
$31.53
-0.17 (-0.54%)
▼
5d:
-2.59%
30d:
+3.04%
90d:
+10.48%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.98
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNK is currently trading at $31.53, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.56 to $33.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.8) is in line with its historical norms (12.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.18 (+11.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.18 (+11.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$29.56 -
$33.67
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($35.18)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.4% growth with 18.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.56 -
$33.67
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.05
Resistance Level
$34.73
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 26, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.85
Wall Street Target
$35.18
(+11.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.7%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 12.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.29
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$33.06
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$33.86
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.61
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.8%)
$78.84
(+150%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 13.8%)
$46.52
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 13.8%)
$39.54
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.30
Bull Case
$65.81
(+109%)
Analyst growth 88.7%, PE expands to 26.8
Base Case
$59.83
(+90%)
Market implied 88.7%, PE stable at 24.4
Bear Case
$21.56
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Melissa Thomas
SELL
7944 shares
2026-02-04
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