COHR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
COHR - Coherent Corp.
$335.26
16.07 (5.03%)
▲
5d:
+1.75%
30d:
+17.98%
90d:
+47.25%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Smart Money Accumulation
COHR is down 5.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $300 2026-06-18 with 1,810 OI. Call ratio: 61% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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3 traders called COHR this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: COHR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: COHR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$383.53
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$238.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: COHR is currently trading at $335.26, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $270.88 to $343.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 42.6) compared to its historical average (34.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COHR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $291.00, while resistance sits at $354.20. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COHR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $291.00, while resistance sits at $354.20. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$270.88 -
$343.47
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.0%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($355.64)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.8% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$270.88 -
$343.47
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$291.00
Resistance Level
$354.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
42.56
Wall Street Target
$355.64
(+6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
73.0%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.8% premium
PE vs Historical
42.6 vs 34.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$361.41
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$389.60
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$419.99
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 43→34)
PE COMPRESSION
$335.54
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 42.6, Growth: 44.3%)
$1008.34
(+201%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 44.3%)
$519.84
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 44.3%)
$441.87
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (43x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 46.30 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.24
Bull Case
$404.83
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 48.6
Base Case
$335.26
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 46.3
Bear Case
$256.47
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 41.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 11, 2026 7:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is COHR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sherri R Luther
SELL
2000 shares
2026-04-22
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-25
Howard H Xia
SELL
3240 shares
2026-03-17
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Advanced COHR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's COHR price and gamma walls.
