Is CRS stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, CRS is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: CRS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of CRS stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CRS to be between $419.06 and $443.46. The current price is $403.56.

What is the analyst price target for CRS?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CRS is $457.22. This implies a potential upside of 11.8% from current levels.

CRS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CRS - Carpenter Technology Corp

STEEL WORKS, BLAST FURNACES & ROLLING MILLS (COKE OVENS)

$403.56

-5.37 (-1.31%) ▼

5d: -5.94%

30d: -9.45%

90d: +7.65%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

Protect Your CRS Gains

Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Jul 30, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

CRS is down 4.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $500 2026-06-18 with 1,239 OI. Call ratio: 75% View Scanner →

Strength: 4.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CRS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 20.3%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$560.47

Based on 12.2% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$348.01

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CRS is currently trading at $403.56, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $419.06 to $443.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.1) is in line with its historical norms (32.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 47.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CRS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $404.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $457.22 (+11.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $419.06 - $443.46

Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 81.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($457.22)
CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.9% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $419.06 - $443.46

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Expected Move (7 Days) ±$26.76 (6.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $404.91

Resistance Level $475.69

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of May 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 32.15

Wall Street Target $457.22 (+11.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.6%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 47.3%

Profit Margin 15.8%

Valuation Discount vs History -0.5% cheaper

PE vs Historical 32.2 vs 32.7 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -0.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $406.89 (-1%)

2-Year Target $404.85 (-1%)

3-Year Target $402.83 (-2%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 32→33) $409.74 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 32.1, Growth: 20.3%) $711.15 (+74%)

Base: (SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 20.3%) $488.21 (+19%)

Bear: (PE: 18.8, Growth: 20.3%) $414.98 (+2%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 45.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.51

Bull Case $632.04 (+55%)

Analyst growth 33.8%, PE expands to 49.7

Base Case $574.58 (+41%)

Market implied 33.8%, PE stable at 45.2

Bear Case $292.11 (-29%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.4

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.1 to 32.7

Stabilization Target: $415.95 (+1.7%)

PE Expansion Potential: +1.7%

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Last updated: May 18, 2026 12:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:20 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

James D Dee SELL 15800 shares 2026-02-24

Steven E Karol SELL 3000 shares 2026-02-19

Steven E Karol SELL 3500 shares 2026-02-19

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