CRTO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRTO - Criteo S.A.
$19.08
0.61 (3.30%)
▲
5d:
+9.15%
30d:
+1.98%
90d:
+3.53%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CRTO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CRTO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.40
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRTO is currently trading at $19.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.14 to $18.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.2) is in line with its historical norms (4.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRTO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRTO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.40 (+27.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRTO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRTO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.40 (+27.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$17.14 -
$18.41
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.9% below Wall St target ($24.40)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.8% growth with -5.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.14 -
$18.41
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.80
Resistance Level
$17.99
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.22
Wall Street Target
$24.40
(+27.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-77.3%
Profit Margin
6.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
4.2 vs 4.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.42
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$19.77
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$20.13
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→4)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.07
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.4%)
$125.27
(+557%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.2, Growth: 8.4%)
$24.29
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.6, Growth: 8.4%)
$20.65
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.13
Bull Case
$40.63
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 9.5
Base Case
$36.94
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 8.7
Bear Case
$12.56
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 11:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRTO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Der Kooi Frederik Van
BUY
5000 shares
2026-03-13
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