CVI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVI - CVR ENERGY, INC.
$33.89
0.78 (2.36%)
▲
5d:
+1.01%
30d:
+3.13%
90d:
+46.27%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When CVI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
1 traders called CVI this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CVI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CVI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.00
0.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVI is currently trading at $33.89, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.01 to $33.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.1) compared to its historical average (25.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.16, while resistance sits at $35.33.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.16, while resistance sits at $35.33.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$31.01 -
$33.94
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($31.17)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.4% growth with 20.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.01 -
$33.94
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.16
Resistance Level
$35.33
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.13
Wall Street Target
$31.17
(-8.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-68.1%
Profit Margin
-0.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.4% premium
PE vs Historical
30.1 vs 25.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.72
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$37.65
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$39.68
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.85
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.1, Growth: 217.2%)
$114.38
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 217.2%)
$83.79
(+147%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 217.2%)
$71.22
(+110%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 5:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:16 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CVI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Carl C Icahn
BUY
275012 shares
2026-02-24
Carl C Icahn
BUY
244940 shares
2026-02-23
Carl C Icahn
BUY
263452 shares
2026-02-20
Top Rated Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$255 | 57 HOLD |
|
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corp |
BUY
20 analysts |
$257 | 66 BUY |
|
PSX
Phillips 66 |
BUY
19 analysts |
$186 | 61 BUY |
|
DINO
HF Sinclair Corp |
BUY
17 analysts |
$73 | 58 HOLD |
|
CLNE
Clean Energy Fuels Corp |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$4 | 52 HOLD |
