DAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAL - Delta Air Lines, Inc.
$65.89
-0.65 (-0.98%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 08, 2026
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6 traders called DAL this week
50% bullish • 3 bearish
50% bullish • 3 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DAL appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.7% annual earnings decline despite 44% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DAL appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.7% annual earnings decline despite 44% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$113.34
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.38
6.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAL is currently trading at $65.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.54 to $71.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.0) compared to its historical average (9.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 44.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.89 (+24.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.89 (+24.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$67.54 -
$71.48
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.3% below Wall St target ($81.89)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$67.54 -
$71.48
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.47
Resistance Level
$71.67
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.03
Wall Street Target
$81.89
(+24.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.4%
Profit Margin
7.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 9.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.45
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$61.10
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$58.84
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$65.96
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.0%)
$270.86
(+311%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 14.0%)
$97.52
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 14.0%)
$82.89
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.66
Bull Case
$77.58
(+18%)
Analyst growth 7.1%, PE expands to 9.5
Base Case
$70.53
(+7%)
Market implied 7.1%, PE stable at 8.6
Bear Case
$44.76
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 9.0
Stabilization Target:
$73.86
(+12.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.1%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 1:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John E Laughter
SELL
23323 shares
2025-10-21
William C Carroll
SELL
14010 shares
2025-10-15
Michael P Huerta
SELL
2500 shares
2025-08-19
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Advanced DAL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DAL price and gamma walls.
