UAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UAL - United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$96.02
0.32 (0.33%)
▲
5d:
-3.69%
30d:
+1.86%
90d:
-12.15%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
UAL is down 3.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $105 2026-06-18 with 10,271 OI. Call ratio: 62% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.0/10
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1 traders called UAL this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UAL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UAL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$197.36
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$122.55
21.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UAL is currently trading at $96.02, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $91.20 to $98.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.8) is in line with its historical norms (7.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 84.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $89.24, while resistance sits at $103.77.
Market Sentiment: UAL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $129.83 (+35.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $89.24, while resistance sits at $103.77.
Market Sentiment: UAL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $129.83 (+35.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$91.20 -
$98.24
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.2% below Wall St target ($129.83)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$91.20 -
$98.24
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.24
Resistance Level
$103.77
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.82
Wall Street Target
$129.83
(+35.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
84.5%
Profit Margin
6.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.8 vs 7.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$94.29
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$92.59
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$90.93
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$95.97
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 54.1%)
$1047.06
(+991%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 54.1%)
$324.07
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: 54.1%)
$275.46
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.18
Bull Case
$132.54
(+38%)
Analyst growth 25.9%, PE expands to 9.4
Base Case
$120.49
(+26%)
Market implied 25.9%, PE stable at 8.6
Bear Case
$65.08
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.8 to 7.2
Stabilization Target:
$101.35
(+5.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 9:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-02-10
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Advanced UAL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UAL price and gamma walls.
