VLRS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VLRS - CONTROLADORA VUELA COMPAÑÍA DE AVIACIÓN, S.A.B. DE C.V.

Air Transportation, Scheduled
$6.90
-0.38 (-5.22%) ▼
5d: -11.65%
30d: -12.66%
90d: -31.82%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: VLRS is down 11.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VLRS is currently trading at $6.90, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.20 to $7.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -42.0) compared to its historical average (94.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VLRS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.96 (+29.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $7.20 - $7.84
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 29.9% below Wall St target ($8.96)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $7.20 - $7.84
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.16
Resistance Level $8.08
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -41.97
Wall Street Target $8.96 (+29.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -91.1%
Profit Margin -4.0%
PE vs Historical -42.0 vs 94.4 CHEAP
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Last updated: May 14, 2026 11:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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