DIS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DIS - The Walt Disney Company
$104.55
1.83 (1.78%)
▲
5d:
-0.16%
30d:
-1.64%
90d:
-0.84%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
DIS is down 4.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $115 2026-06-18 with 12,082 OI. Call ratio: 63% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.7/10
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9 traders called DIS this week
82% bullish • 2 bearish
82% bullish • 2 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DIS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DIS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$153.49
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$95.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DIS is currently trading at $104.55, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.94 to $106.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.8) is in line with its historical norms (14.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DIS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $100.06, while resistance sits at $110.48.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $130.67 (+27.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DIS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $100.06, while resistance sits at $110.48.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $130.67 (+27.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$99.94 -
$106.15
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.2% below Wall St target ($130.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$99.94 -
$106.15
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$100.06
Resistance Level
$110.48
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.75
Wall Street Target
$130.67
(+27.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.8%
Profit Margin
11.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 14.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$100.36
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$98.05
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$95.79
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$102.39
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 9.9%)
$218.63
(+113%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 9.9%)
$136.24
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 9.9%)
$115.80
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.25
Bull Case
$138.58
(+35%)
Analyst growth 19.5%, PE expands to 18.6
Base Case
$125.98
(+23%)
Market implied 19.5%, PE stable at 16.9
Bear Case
$71.69
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.8 to 14.7
Stabilization Target:
$109.80
(+6.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 10:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DIS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
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Advanced DIS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DIS price and gamma walls.
