DK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DK - Delek US Holdings, Inc.
$52.61
-0.53 (-1.00%)
▼
5d:
+11.53%
30d:
+13.38%
90d:
+18.52%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: DK is 7.2% above its trading range ($49.07). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: DK is 7.2% above its trading range ($49.07). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.56
Based on -25.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DK is currently trading at $52.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.34 to $49.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.6) is in line with its historical norms (23.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $50.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $50.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$43.34 -
$49.07
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.2% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($53.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.34 -
$49.07
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.11
Resistance Level
$50.33
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.57
Wall Street Target
$53.25
(+1.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1870.0%
Profit Margin
-0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
25.6 vs 23.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.24
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$55.92
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$57.66
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$52.55
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.6, Growth: -55.9%)
$38.35
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -55.9%)
$32.67
(-38%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -55.9%)
$27.77
(-47%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shlomo Zohar
SELL
7343 shares
2026-03-19
William J Finnerty
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-18
Denise Clark Mcwatters
SELL
11988 shares
2026-03-13
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