DRVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DRVN - Driven Brands Holdings Inc. Common Stock
$12.54
-0.14 (-1.10%)
▼
5d:
-8.8%
30d:
-1.88%
90d:
-24.78%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DRVN is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: DRVN is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.97
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DRVN is currently trading at $12.54, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.47 to $13.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRVN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.30 (+46.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRVN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.30 (+46.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$12.47 -
$13.46
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 46.0% below Wall St target ($18.30)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.47 -
$13.46
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.59
Resistance Level
$14.25
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.22
Wall Street Target
$18.31
(+46.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
56.9%
Profit Margin
-8.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.59
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$12.64
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$12.69
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.55
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 6.4%)
$32.58
(+160%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 6.4%)
$15.10
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 6.4%)
$12.83
(+2%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 10:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DRVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott L O'melia
SELL
46875 shares
2026-01-21
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